My Financial Journey

Well a bit of a bounce back this year after last years pullback that halved our nestegg. We greatly exceeded the performance on the SP500 this year which is the 11th time in 17 years and the 6th time in the last 7 years we’ve accomplished that. Overall any individual years performance is nothing to get too excited about, but we now have a 17 year track record to look back on. Long term performance is greatly skewed by recent performance, but we have now exceeded the total return of the SP500 by 375% over 17 years and this is entirely driven by the outperformance of our individual stock portfolio that has now exceeded the SP500 by over 1400%!!

We still however are not at all-time highs as our nestegg lost 45% of its value last year and while 50% plus returns are amazing – we needed closer to 100% returns to get back to what we gave back last year. This is why looking at anything in a short time window of a few years really isn’t really going to tell you much.

Also despite our insane outperformance by picking individual stocks we continue to contribute 100% of our money to index funds and high yield stable securities and have done so now for close to 10 years. I feel like we have gotten very lucky with our individual stock investments and I’m not convinced I’m the second coming of Warren Buffett so we continue to follow the original plan of having the vast majority of our investments be in index funds which is what I would recommend to anyone.

We do however currently have 60% of our money in individual stocks and this simply due to the fact that our stock portfolio has now averaged 17.75% annualized returns over 17 years which has turned a relatively small amount of investment into an insane amount of value. We will continue to let these investments do the bulk of the heavy lifting and over time I do see more and more of this money being converted over to index funds, but for now I still feel very confident about our long term investments and will let them run for the foreseeable future.

I also realize at this point the only meaningful thing I can do to our portfolio is to screw it up by thinking I’m smart and taking risks that if they pan out wouldn’t meaningfully change our lives anyway. With this being said if all of our individual stocks went to $0 we would still be doing pretty ok. Also almost all of our individual stocks are actually now pretty big household name companies with many sources of revenue and global reach so I feel like as time goes on our individual stocks are becoming more and more stable (if you totally ignore last years 68% drop for our stock portfolio 😛 )

In annual tradition I will list my best and worst individual stock performers for 2023.

My Best Performers
Bitcoin +154.96%
Crowdstrike +147.21%
Tesla +129.86%
Shopify +118.33%
Cloudflare +93.54%
Ethereum +92.82%
Amazon +77.04%
DataDog +68.37%
Chipotle +66.79%
Netflix +65.07%
Monday +57.26%
Apple +53.94%

Obviously a very good year overall for the entire market and a great year for some of my larger positions. I do have a few newish positions (only 3 years old) that had some strong performance with the cloud stocks (crowdstrike,datadog,cloudflare, monday) and the crypto that were high fliers this year, but what is even more telling for me is the massive performance by stocks I have literally held for over a decade in Tesla, Shopify, Amazon, Chipotle, Netflix, and Apple all coming in with 50% to 130% returns. Many of these are huge companies who have been growing rapidly forever and have made me loads of money already and here they are still in some cases almost 20 years after I bought them still propelling me rapidly to new nearly new highs.

This year will be the 20th anniversary of my first Netflix purchase and I’ve owned most of this bunch since the 2000s decade and some of them have gone up more than 100x in value from my original purchase. The only thing I had to do was do nothing. This is harder than it sounds as clearly we have to be staying up to date and listening to pundits and doing all kind of hard research in order to pick the best stocks and clearly the smart thing is to take profits off the table when a stock has had a huge run and companies can’t grow forever and it’s best to take money from those companies and invest in the next batch of up and comers and yeah……doing nothing is the hard part or at least it is initially.

I feel confident in the companies I’ve invested in and the leaders who run them. Picking out the best companies in the world is honestly not all that difficult. Great leaders running companies who only focus on making great products. You know those products when you use them. The first time you touched an iPhone, drove a Tesla, signed up for Netflix, ordered your first Amazon package, you knew deep down this was something at a completely different level that was going to change the world. Buy those companies and hold onto them forever – it will change your life.

My Worst Performers
Starbucks -4.78%

Starbucks is the only company who lost me money this year. Ironically after my sermon above I have never had a Starbucks coffee and don’t drink coffee so hard to get a strong conviction on this one other than I’m probably the only weirdo who doesn’t drink coffee and frequent Starbucks. I’ve also owned Starbucks since 2007 and it’s been a great performer for me over that time span.